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Patrocinense vs Montes Claros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montes Claros in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montes Claros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Patrocinense
20%
Draws
32%
Montes Claros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Patrocinense haven't matched Montes Claros's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Montes Claros Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Montes Claros
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.65 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2015 Mineiro 2
Montes Claros vs Patrocinense
1:1
Feb 21, 2015 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Montes Claros
0:0
Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2
Montes Claros vs Patrocinense
1:0
Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Montes Claros
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 32 / 100
Montes Claros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Montes Claros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montes Claros has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Difficult form: Montes Claros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Patrocinense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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Montes Claros

(Away)
21 Mar
Tricordiano
1 : 0
Montes Claros
19 Mar
Montes Claros
1 : 1
Patrocinense
14 Mar
Montes Claros
0 : 1
Araxa
12 Mar
Uberlandia
1 : 1
Montes Claros
07 Mar
CAP Uberlandia
3 : 1
Montes Claros
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