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Patrocinense vs Nacional MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between Patrocinense and Nacional MG finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
57%
Nacional MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional MG come out ahead of Patrocinense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Nacional MG
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Patrocinense
1:0
Mar 26, 2011 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Nacional MG
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 32 / 100
Nacional MG 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Nacional MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional MG let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Nacional MG registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Patrocinense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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Nacional MG

(Away)
16 Mar
Villa Nova AC
3 : 1
Nacional MG
09 Mar
Nacional MG
2 : 0
URT
05 Mar
Nacional MG
1 : 4
Cruzeiro
01 Mar
America MG
2 : 1
Nacional MG
25 Feb
Nacional MG
1 : 0
Tombense
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