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Patrocinense vs North Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Kellyton
79'
Luizao

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Patrocinense and North Esporte Clube finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
65%
North Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Esporte Clube come out ahead of Patrocinense on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Esporte Clube a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 16%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense North Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Mineiro 2
North Esporte Clube vs Patrocinense
2:1
Jul 2, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs North Esporte Clube
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

North Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellyton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 19 / 100
North Esporte Clube 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense North Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Esporte Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Patrocinense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

North Esporte Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Patrocinense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS North Esporte Clube
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

North Esporte Clube

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Ipatinga 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Mamore 4 0 1 3 0:3 1
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Super final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
2 Democrata SL 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Patrocinense 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Super final)