Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patronato vs Quilmes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patronato host Quilmes in the Primera Nacional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Quilmes have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Patronato have conceded 0.75 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Patronato have won 1 to Quilmes's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.63 - 0.75) back Patronato to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patronato
39%
Draws
31%
Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Quilmes have won more games recently than Patronato.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato Quilmes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Patronato
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Quilmes
1:0
May 10, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Patronato
1:1
Sep 9, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Quilmes
1:1
Apr 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Patronato
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 41 / 100
Quilmes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato Quilmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Quilmes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Patronato scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Quilmes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patronato

(Home)
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0
Patronato
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1
Patronato
05 Jul
Patronato
0 : 1
San Martin T.
21 Jun
Patronato
1 : 1
Midland
14 Jun
Patronato
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

Quilmes

(Away)
26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1
Colegiales
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0
Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1
Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
11Colegiales2175919:2026
12Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
13Almagro2074916:2225
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)