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Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Patuxent and Charlottesville Blues finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlottesville Blues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Patuxent
15%
Draws
85%
Charlottesville Blues
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlottesville Blues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Patuxent haven't matched Charlottesville Blues's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Charlottesville Blues a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charlottesville Blues have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Patuxent Clean Sheet 10%
Charlottesville Blues Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patuxent Charlottesville Blues
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0.6 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 USL League Two
Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues
1:3
Jul 2, 2025 USL League Two
Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 USL League Two
Charlottesville Blues vs Patuxent
3:1
Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two
Charlottesville Blues vs Patuxent
1:0
Jun 19, 2024 USL League Two
Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patuxent 10 / 100
Charlottesville Blues 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patuxent Charlottesville Blues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlottesville Blues Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlottesville Blues conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Patuxent scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Charlottesville Blues has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patuxent VS Charlottesville Blues
0.13 Goals Scored 2
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Patuxent

(Home)
11 Jul
Patuxent
0 : 4
Virginia Beach United
08 Jul
Patuxent
1 : 2
Christos
06 Jul
Northern Virginia
8 : 0
Patuxent
30 Jun
Patuxent
0 : 1
Hill City
27 Jun
Bethesda SC
1 : 0
Patuxent
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Charlottesville Blues

(Away)
11 Jul
Lionsbridge
1 : 2
Charlottesville Blues
01 Jul
Charlottesville Blues
2 : 3
Bethesda SC
25 Jun
Charlottesville Blues
0 : 3
Lionsbridge
21 Jun
Charlottesville Blues
4 : 0
Virginia Marauders FC
17 Jun
Virginia Marauders FC
0 : 4
Charlottesville Blues
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