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Pau vs Montlucon

France France

CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Pau Logo

Pau

3 - 0
FT
Montlucon Logo

Montlucon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pau in this CFA - Group C 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pau
15%
Draws
57%
Montlucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montlucon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Montlucon have won more games recently than Pau.
  • Win probability leans Montlucon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pau Clean Sheet 16%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Montlucon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Pau
0:0
Sep 19, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Pau vs Montlucon
1:0
Mar 7, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Pau vs Montlucon
3:0
Sep 13, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Pau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 10 / 100
Montlucon 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Montlucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlucon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pau scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Montlucon has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Montlucon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Annecy
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
Page 1 of 6

Montlucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)