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Paulense vs Academico do Sal

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2017 game between Paulense and Academico do Sal finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico do Sal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Paulense
30%
Draws
23%
Academico do Sal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paulense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Academico do Sal haven't matched Paulense's recent run of results.
  • Paulense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paulense Clean Sheet 20%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulense Academico do Sal
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Academico do Sal
1:3
May 20, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Paulense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulense 67 / 100
Academico do Sal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulense Academico do Sal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paulense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Academico do Sal has conceded goals in 71% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Paulense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paulense VS Academico do Sal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulense

(Home)
14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
Paulense
07 Jun
Paulense
2 : 2
Boavista da Praia
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5
Paulense
Page 1 of 6

Academico do Sal

(Away)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams