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Paulista vs Guarulhos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista A4 2021
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AI Match Summary

Paulista in this Paulista A4 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paulista
20%
Draws
40%
Guarulhos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Guarulhos haven't matched Paulista's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarulhos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Paulista Clean Sheet 14%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulista Guarulhos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Paulista
0:1
Sep 1, 2021 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Guarulhos
3:0
Jun 16, 2018 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Guarulhos
0:2
Apr 29, 2018 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Paulista
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulista 10 / 100
Guarulhos 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulista Guarulhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulista found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarulhos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Paulista stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paulista VS Guarulhos
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulista

(Home)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

Guarulhos

(Away)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams