Sport Picks
Paulista vs Itapirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paulista A3 
Match Events
15'
15'
Vinicius Caveira
32'
32'
Camilo
45'
45'
Vitinho
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paulista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Paulista have won more games recently than Itapirense.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Paulista taking it.
- Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Paulista Clean Sheet 68%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paulista | Itapirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 23, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Itapirense
2:2
Jun 25, 2022 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Itapirense
3:0
May 21, 2022 Paulista A4
Itapirense vs Paulista
0:0
Aug 4, 2018 Paulista A4
Itapirense vs Paulista
1:2
Jul 29, 2018 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Itapirense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paulista Compare
Top Goalscorer Camilo
1 Goals Assists Leader Vitinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82
Itapirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius Caveira
1 Goals Assists Leader de Lima J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paulista 51 / 100
Itapirense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paulista Itapirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Itapirense conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Paulista scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Paulista has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Paulista VS Itapirense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Paulista
(Home) 07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
01 Aug
Paulista
0 : 2 Osasco Sporting
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Primavera EC
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 3
Itapirense
(Away) 21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1 Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2 Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3 EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2 Itapirense
Page 1 of 6
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2 Itapirense
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2 Itapirense
22 Feb
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Feb
Uniao Suzano
3 : 1 Itapirense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)
