Sport Picks

Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024

Acao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paulistano FC play Acao in the Matogrossense 2 2024. Acao are favorites here. Recently, Paulistano FC averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Acao averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Paulistano FC won 0, Acao won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Paulistano FC and 1.63 for Acao. This points to a Acao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Paulistano FC

17%

Draws

63%

Acao

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Paulistano FC picked up more points recently compared to Acao.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Paulistano FC Clean Sheet 14%

Acao Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paulistano FC	Acao
Matches Played	5	30
Wins	0	9
Draws	2	4
Losses	3	17
Goals Scored	0.2	1.33
Goals Conceded	3	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2

Paulistano FC vs Acao

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

May 18, 2024 Matogrossense 2

Paulistano FC vs Acao

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulistano FC 21 / 100

Acao 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paulistano FC Acao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (2)

Secondary Pick Acao & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paulistano FC attacking → ← attacking Acao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulistano FC scored in 20% of their last 5 games.

Acao let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Paulistano FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Acao lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 31

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rondonopolis EC	5	3	2	0	19:5	11
2	Acao	4	3	0	1	9:6	9
3	Pocone	4	2	1	1	7:4	7
4	Várzea Grande EC	4	1	1	2	6:7	4
5	Atletico MT	4	0	0	4	0:10	0
6	Paulistano FC	1	0	0	1	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sinop FC	5	4	1	0	8:3	13
2	Gremio Sorriso	5	3	2	0	8:3	11
3	Caceres	5	2	1	2	6:6	7
4	Sport Sinop	5	2	0	3	6:6	6
5	Campo Novo	5	1	0	4	6:10	3
6	Santa Cruz MT	5	1	0	4	3:9	3