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Paulistano FC vs Acao

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Sat, May 18, 2024
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paulistano FC host Acao in the Matogrossense 2 2024. Acao are expected to control this from the start. Paulistano FC have averaged 0.2 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Acao's 1.31 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Paulistano FC have won 0 to Acao's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.63, favoring Acao. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Paulistano FC
35%
Draws
52%
Acao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Acao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Acao a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Paulistano FC Clean Sheet 14%
Acao Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulistano FC Acao
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 0 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 0.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 3 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Paulistano FC vs Acao
1:2
May 18, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Paulistano FC vs Acao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulistano FC 11 / 100
Acao 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulistano FC Acao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Acao conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Paulistano FC found the back of the net in 20% of recent matches (5 games).

Paulistano FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paulistano FC VS Acao
0.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulistano FC

(Home)
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
03 May
Cacerense
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
18 Apr
Paulistano FC
0 : 4
Uirapuru
07 May
Paulistano FC
0 : 9
Rondonopolis EC

Acao

(Away)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)