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Pavia vs AlbinoLeffe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Colombi A.
47' Event
Garattoni A.
57' Event
Garattoni A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pavia and AlbinoLeffe finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AlbinoLeffe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pavia
35%
Draws
47%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AlbinoLeffe come out ahead of Pavia on wins alone.
  • AlbinoLeffe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Pavia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pavia Clean Sheet 24%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavia AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Pavia vs AlbinoLeffe
0:4
Feb 20, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Pavia vs AlbinoLeffe
1:0
Oct 10, 2015 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Pavia
1:2
Feb 22, 2015 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Pavia
0:2
Oct 6, 2014 Serie C - Group A
Pavia vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pavia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Garattoni A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Colombi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavia 29 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavia AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AlbinoLeffe let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Pavia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pavia VS AlbinoLeffe
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavia

(Home)
07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3
Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1
Pavia
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
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AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
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