Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pavia vs Oltrepo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pavia
6%
Draws
90%
Oltrepo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oltrepo lately — more wins on the board than Pavia.
  • Win probability leans Oltrepo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Pavia Clean Sheet 22%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavia Oltrepo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Pavia vs Oltrepo
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Pavia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavia 10 / 100
Oltrepo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavia Oltrepo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavia scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Oltrepo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Pavia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pavia VS Oltrepo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavia

(Home)
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
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Oltrepo

(Away)
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Oltrepo
02 Apr
Oltrepo
1 : 0
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)