Sport Picks
Match Events
76'
76'
Quaggio A.
86'
86'
Mustacchio M.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piacenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pavia haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Piacenza's way, sitting at 90%.
- Piacenza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Piacenza, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pavia Clean Sheet 17%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pavia | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pavia vs Piacenza
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pavia Compare
Top Goalscorer Quaggio A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Piacenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustacchio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pavia 10 / 100
Piacenza 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pavia Piacenza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piacenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pavia scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Piacenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Pavia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pavia VS Piacenza
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pavia
(Home) 25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4 AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1 Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1 Pavia
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4 AlbinoLeffe
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Pavia
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
22 Mar
Pavia
1 : 0 Castellanzese
01 Mar
Pavia
1 : 1 Varesina
Page 1 of 4
Piacenza
(Away) 23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1 Crema
26 Apr
Tropical Coriano
1 : 0 Piacenza
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
26 Apr
Tropical Coriano
1 : 0 Piacenza
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Piacenza
29 Mar
Lentigione
3 : 1 Piacenza
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
