Sport Picks
Pavia vs Sant'Angelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 
Match Events
2'
2'
Pizzi L.
39'
39'
Dalcerri T.
76'
76'
Cominetti M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sant'Angelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Sant'Angelo at 1.28 per game, Pavia at 0.9.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Sant'Angelo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pavia Clean Sheet 16%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pavia | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pavia vs Sant'Angelo
1:3
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Pavia
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pavia vs Sant'Angelo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pavia Compare
Top Goalscorer Raballo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sant'Angelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pizzi L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dalcerri T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pavia 31 / 100
Sant'Angelo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pavia Sant'Angelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sant'Angelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Pavia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Pavia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pavia VS Sant'Angelo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pavia
(Home) 07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1 Pavia
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1 Arconatese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0 Solbiatese
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1 Arconatese
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0 Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0 Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4 AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 3
Sant'Angelo
(Away) 07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2 Castellanzese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3 Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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