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Pavlikeni vs Etar II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pavlikeni host Etar II in the Third League - North-West. This one's hard to separate. Pavlikeni have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against Etar II's 1.46 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Pavlikeni have won 3 to Etar II's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.63) point toward Pavlikeni. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pavlikeni
15%
Draws
85%
Etar II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pavlikeni have won more games recently than Etar II.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 14%
Etar II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavlikeni Etar II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Pavlikeni
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Etar II
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Pavlikeni
2:3
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Etar II
6:1
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Pavlikeni
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavlikeni 31 / 100
Etar II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavlikeni Etar II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Pavlikeni scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Etar II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Etar II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pavlikeni VS Etar II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavlikeni

(Home)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

Etar II

(Away)
26 Sept
Etar II
1 : 3
Yantra Polski Trambesh
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Spartak Pleven II 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
11 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)