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Pavlikeni vs Kom Berkovitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West game between Pavlikeni and Kom Berkovitsa finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kom Berkovitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pavlikeni
20%
Draws
58%
Kom Berkovitsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kom Berkovitsa come out ahead of Pavlikeni on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kom Berkovitsa a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 18%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavlikeni Kom Berkovitsa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Kom Berkovitsa
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Pavlikeni
4:1
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Pavlikeni
4:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavlikeni 28 / 100
Kom Berkovitsa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavlikeni Kom Berkovitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Berkovitsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pavlikeni scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kom Berkovitsa conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Pavlikeni has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pavlikeni VS Kom Berkovitsa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavlikeni

(Home)
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Pavlikeni
1 : 0
OFK Levski
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Kom Berkovitsa

(Away)
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
11 Spartak Pleven II 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)