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Pavlikeni vs Sevlievo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West game between Pavlikeni and Sevlievo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sevlievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pavlikeni
20%
Draws
80%
Sevlievo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevlievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Sevlievo have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Pavlikeni are scoring more at 1.21.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Pavlikeni taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sevlievo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 18%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavlikeni Sevlievo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Sevlievo
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Pavlikeni
6:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Sevlievo
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Sevlievo
0:5
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Pavlikeni
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavlikeni 49 / 100
Sevlievo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavlikeni Sevlievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pavlikeni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pavlikeni scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Sevlievo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Sevlievo's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pavlikeni VS Sevlievo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavlikeni

(Home)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
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Sevlievo

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
11 Spartak Pleven II 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)