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Pavonese vs Club Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mariotti L.
89' Event
Arena F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Pavonese and Club Milano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pavonese
20%
Draws
29%
Club Milano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pavonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Milano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pavonese Clean Sheet 16%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavonese Club Milano
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Pavonese vs Club Milano
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pavonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Club Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariotti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arena F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavonese 30 / 100
Club Milano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavonese Club Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pavonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pavonese scored in 60% of their last 5 outings.

Club Milano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Pavonese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pavonese VS Club Milano
0.83 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavonese

(Home)
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0
Pavonese

Club Milano

(Away)
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)