Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Payasspor play Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) in the 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Payasspor won 1, Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Payasspor and 1.18 for Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977). This points to a Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Payasspor

24%

Draws

50%

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Payasspor picked up more points recently compared to Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977).
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Payasspor Clean Sheet 20%

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Payasspor	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	6	15
Draws	7	10
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1.03	1.35
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2021 3. Lig Group 1

Payasspor vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Dec 10, 2020 3. Lig Group 1

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Payasspor

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Feb 17, 2019 3. Lig Group 3

Payasspor vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Sep 30, 2018 3. Lig Group 3

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Payasspor

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

2:0

Mar 25, 2017 3. Lig Group 3

Payasspor vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yenilmez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare

Top Goalscorer Dernek O.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Isik B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Payasspor 27 / 100

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Payasspor Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Payasspor attacking → ← attacking Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Payasspor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Payasspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	30	20	8	2	43:18	68
2	Bucaspor 1928	30	20	7	3	58:18	67
3	Malatya	30	17	5	8	50:27	56
4	Ofspor	30	14	11	5	43:31	53
5	Arnavutkoy Bl.	30	13	9	8	40:29	48
6	Edirnespor Genclik	30	12	9	9	34:31	45
7	Guzide Gebzespor	30	11	10	9	41:29	43
8	Hopaspor	30	10	9	11	41:44	39
9	Fatsa Bld.	30	10	8	12	22:31	38
10	Kizilcabolukspor	30	9	10	11	34:33	37
11	Nevsehir	30	9	7	14	31:31	34
12	Cankaya FK	30	10	4	16	28:48	34
13	Alemdag	30	9	6	15	37:48	33
14	Kemerspor 2003	30	7	6	17	27:50	27
15	Payasspor	30	5	8	17	29:56	23
16	Manisaspor	30	1	9	20	22:56	12