Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021

Kemerspor 2003

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Payasspor play Kemerspor 2003 in the 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Kemerspor 2003 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Payasspor won 0, Kemerspor 2003 won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 24, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Payasspor and 1.69 for Kemerspor 2003. This points to a Kemerspor 2003 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Payasspor

32%

Draws

36%

Kemerspor 2003

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Kemerspor 2003

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Payasspor picked up more points recently compared to Kemerspor 2003.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Payasspor Clean Sheet 13%

Kemerspor 2003 Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Payasspor	Kemerspor 2003
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	17	18
Goals Scored	1.03	0.93
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2021 3. Lig Group 1

Payasspor vs Kemerspor 2003

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Nov 15, 2020 3. Lig Group 1

Kemerspor 2003 vs Payasspor

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Apr 19, 2020 3. Lig Group 2

Kemerspor 2003 vs Payasspor

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Dec 8, 2019 3. Lig Group 2

Payasspor vs Kemerspor 2003

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Sep 6, 2016 Turkish Cup

Kemerspor 2003 vs Payasspor

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yenilmez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Kemerspor 2003 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aksu I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Payasspor 31 / 100

Kemerspor 2003 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Payasspor Kemerspor 2003

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kemerspor 2003 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Payasspor attacking → ← attacking Kemerspor 2003

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Payasspor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Kemerspor 2003 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Payasspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kemerspor 2003 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 26

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	30	20	8	2	43:18	68
2	Bucaspor 1928	30	20	7	3	58:18	67
3	Malatya	30	17	5	8	50:27	56
4	Ofspor	30	14	11	5	43:31	53
5	Arnavutkoy Bl.	30	13	9	8	40:29	48
6	Edirnespor Genclik	30	12	9	9	34:31	45
7	Guzide Gebzespor	30	11	10	9	41:29	43
8	Hopaspor	30	10	9	11	41:44	39
9	Fatsa Bld.	30	10	8	12	22:31	38
10	Kizilcabolukspor	30	9	10	11	34:33	37
11	Nevsehir	30	9	7	14	31:31	34
12	Cankaya FK	30	10	4	16	28:48	34
13	Alemdag	30	9	6	15	37:48	33
14	Kemerspor 2003	30	7	6	17	27:50	27
15	Payasspor	30	5	8	17	29:56	23
16	Manisaspor	30	1	9	20	22:56	12