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Payasspor vs Malatya

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Payasspor play Malatya in the 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021. Malatya are favorites here. Recently, Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Malatya averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Payasspor won 0, Malatya won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2021 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Payasspor and 1.18 for Malatya. This points to a Malatya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Payasspor
20%
Draws
57%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Payasspor picked up more points recently compared to Malatya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Payasspor Clean Sheet 20%
Malatya Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Payasspor Malatya
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 22
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Payasspor vs Malatya
0:2
Sep 20, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Malatya vs Payasspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Payasspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Gemici E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Payasspor 25 / 100
Malatya 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Payasspor Malatya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Malatya & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Payasspor attacking → ← attacking Malatya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Payasspor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Malatya let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Payasspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Malatya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 73
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)30208243:1868
2Bucaspor 192830207358:1867
3Malatya30175850:2756
4Ofspor301411543:3153
5Arnavutkoy Bl.30139840:2948
6Edirnespor Genclik30129934:3145
7Guzide Gebzespor301110941:2943
8Hopaspor301091141:4439
9Fatsa Bld.301081222:3138
10Kizilcabolukspor309101134:3337
11Nevsehir30971431:3134
12Cankaya FK301041628:4834
13Alemdag30961537:4833
14Kemerspor 200330761727:5027
15Payasspor30581729:5623
16Manisaspor30192022:5612