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Paynesville vs Downtown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paynesville host Downtown in the LFA First Division. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Paynesville have averaged 1.84 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Downtown's 1.19 scored and 1.7 conceded. Past meetings favor Paynesville slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Paynesville to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paynesville
35%
Draws
32%
Downtown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Paynesville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 16%
Downtown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paynesville Downtown
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.84 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 LFA First Division
Downtown vs Paynesville
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Downtown
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paynesville 31 / 100
Downtown 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paynesville Downtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Downtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paynesville scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Downtown let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Paynesville remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paynesville VS Downtown
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paynesville

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
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Downtown

(Away)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
14 May
Downtown
1 : 0
Borough FC
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Invincible Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 LPRC Oiler 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 NPA Anchors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liberia Registry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Watanga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Discoveries 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freeport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 BEA Mountain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Heaven Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Paynesville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shaita 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Black Man Warrior 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Gardnersville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Downtown 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wologizi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borough FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Golden Dream 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 District 17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)