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Paynesville vs Mighty Barrolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Donyen T.
79' Event
Garway J.

AI Match Summary

Mighty Barrolle in this LFA First Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mighty Barrolle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paynesville
20%
Draws
44%
Mighty Barrolle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mighty Barrolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Paynesville have won more games recently than Mighty Barrolle.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Paynesville taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mighty Barrolle have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 19%
Mighty Barrolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paynesville Mighty Barrolle
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Mighty Barrolle
0:2
Nov 20, 2024 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs Paynesville
0:1
Apr 3, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Mighty Barrolle
2:3
Sep 24, 2023 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs Paynesville
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paynesville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Mighty Barrolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Donyen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garway J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paynesville 42 / 100
Mighty Barrolle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paynesville Mighty Barrolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mighty Barrolle conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Paynesville's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Paynesville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paynesville VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paynesville

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
Page 1 of 7

Mighty Barrolle

(Away)
20 Apr
Discoveries
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
17 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 2
Black Man Warrior
10 Apr
BEA Mountain
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
06 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
2 : 3
Global Pharma
28 Mar
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 5
Shaita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
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