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Paysandu FC vs Fenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Lopez L.
83'
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Paysandu FC and Fenix finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paysandu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Paysandu FC
30%
Draws
41%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenix come out ahead of Paysandu FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu FC Fenix
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Fenix
1:0
Nov 8, 2006 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Paysandu FC
1:0
Nov 2, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Paysandu FC vs Fenix
2:2
May 11, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Paysandu FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fenix Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu FC 32 / 100
Fenix 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu FC Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Fenix let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paysandu FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu FC VS Fenix
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
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