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Paysandu PA U20 vs America MG U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Wed, Nov 19, 2025
1 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paysandu PA U20 play America MG U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paysandu PA U20 averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. America MG U20 averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Paysandu PA U20 won 0, America MG U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 19, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Paysandu PA U20 and 1.56 for America MG U20. This points to a Paysandu PA U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Paysandu PA U20
22%
Draws
36%
America MG U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paysandu PA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA U20 picked up more points recently compared to America MG U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Paysandu PA U20 Clean Sheet 15%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA U20 America MG U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.37 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Paysandu PA U20 vs America MG U20
1:1
Nov 12, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
America MG U20 vs Paysandu PA U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA U20 41 / 100
America MG U20 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA U20 America MG U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paysandu PA U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paysandu PA U20 attacking → ← attacking America MG U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA U20 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

America MG U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Paysandu PA U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

America MG U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 51
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25