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Paysandu PA U20 vs Castanhal U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Paysandu PA U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paysandu PA U20
20%
Draws
29%
Castanhal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paysandu PA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paysandu PA U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Paysandu PA U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paysandu PA U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Paysandu PA U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Castanhal U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA U20 Castanhal U20
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.4 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Paraense U20
Paysandu PA U20 vs Castanhal U20
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Paraense U20
Castanhal U20 vs Paysandu PA U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA U20 85 / 100
Castanhal U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA U20 Castanhal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paysandu PA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA U20 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Castanhal U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paysandu PA U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA U20 VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu PA U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Paysandu PA U20
6 : 0
Independente AP U20
09 Sept
Paysandu PA U20
5 : 0
Macapa U20
27 May
Internacional U20
2 : 0
Paysandu PA U20
20 May
Paysandu PA U20
0 : 3
Atletico GO U20
12 May
Paysandu PA U20
2 : 0
Sport Recife U20
Page 1 of 6

Castanhal U20

(Away)
18 Jan
Paysandu PA U20
3 : 1
Castanhal U20
11 Jan
Castanhal U20
1 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
27 Nov
Castanhal U20
3 : 2
Real Naval U20
23 Nov
Real Naval U20
1 : 1
Castanhal U20
09 Nov
Meninos de Ouro U20
4 : 1
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Castanhal U20 -
TBD -
Belenense U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 7
Aguia De Maraba U20 -
TBD -
Tuna Luso U20 2
Remo U20 1
Semi-finals
Castanhal U20 2
Paysandu PA U20 4
Aguia De Maraba U20 4
Tuna Luso U20 3
Final
Paysandu PA U20 3
Aguia De Maraba U20 2