Sport Picks
Paysandu PA vs Confianca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu), Belem 
Match Events
43'
43'
Pablo
45'
45'
Icaro
45'
45'
Mateus Ludke
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Paysandu PA and Confianca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paysandu PA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paysandu PA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
- Model gives Paysandu PA a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Paysandu PA have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 20%
Confianca Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paysandu PA | Confianca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Confianca
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Serie C
Confianca vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Jul 9, 2022 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Confianca
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Italo Carvalho
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedro Carrerette
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Confianca Compare
Top Goalscorer Icaro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paysandu PA 40 / 100
Confianca 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paysandu PA Confianca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paysandu PA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Confianca let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Confianca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Paysandu PA VS Confianca
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Paysandu PA
(Home) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
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Confianca
(Away) 29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1 Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1 Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
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29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0 Confianca
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1 Confianca
14 Jun
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Confianca
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
