Sport Picks
Paysandu PA vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Brazil
Copa Norte Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal 
Match Events
7'
7'
Veras I.
35'
35'
Castro
45'
45'
Marcinho
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of Gremio Atletico Sampaio on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Paysandu PA's way, sitting at 42%.
- Paysandu PA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Paysandu PA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 15%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paysandu PA | Gremio Atletico Sampaio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2026 Copa Norte
Paysandu PA vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro
1 Goals Assists Leader Italo Carvalho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare
Top Goalscorer Veras I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paysandu PA 41 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paysandu PA Gremio Atletico Sampaio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Paysandu PA's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Gremio Atletico Sampaio has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Difficult form: Gremio Atletico Sampaio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Paysandu PA VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Paysandu PA
(Home) 26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
Page 1 of 4
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
(Away) 14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1 Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3 Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
29 Apr
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 2 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
26 Apr
Monte Roraima
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
19 Apr
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 2 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
