Sport Picks
Paysandu PA vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu), Belem 
Match Events
8'
8'
Carlos Eduardo
14'
14'
Herbert
21'
21'
Caique Franca
AI Match Summary
Paysandu PA in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paysandu PA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Guarani haven't matched Paysandu PA's recent run of results.
- Model gives Paysandu PA a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Paysandu PA have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 15%
Guarani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paysandu PA | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Guarani
3:2
Sep 14, 2024 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Guarani
2:1
May 26, 2024 Serie B
Guarani vs Paysandu PA
0:0
Nov 10, 2018 Serie B
Guarani vs Paysandu PA
0:2
Jul 24, 2018 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Guarani
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Luciano Taboca
1 Goals Assists Leader Italo Carvalho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Herbert
1 Goals Assists Leader Mauricio Antonio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paysandu PA 35 / 100
Guarani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paysandu PA Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).
Guarani let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Paysandu PA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Paysandu PA VS Guarani
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Paysandu PA
(Home) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
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03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
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Guarani
(Away) 29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1 Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1 Internacional de Limeira
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22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1 Guarani
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1 Guarani
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0 Guarani
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
