Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pazarspor vs Erbaaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Firinci S.
62' Event
Kallioglu R.
Own Goal
78' Event
Kargi Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pazarspor
15%
Draws
28%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pazarspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Erbaaspor haven't matched Pazarspor's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Pazarspor taking it.
  • Pazarspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Erbaaspor, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erbaaspor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pazarspor Clean Sheet 20%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazarspor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.16 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Turkish Cup
Pazarspor vs Erbaaspor
3:1
Sep 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
Erbaaspor vs Pazarspor
2:0
Mar 29, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Erbaaspor vs Pazarspor
2:0
Nov 16, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Pazarspor vs Erbaaspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pazarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Firinci S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aykurt S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kargi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazarspor 85 / 100
Erbaaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazarspor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pazarspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pazarspor scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Erbaaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pazarspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pazarspor VS Erbaaspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazarspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Kucukcekmece
27 Sept
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
19 Sept
Zonguldak Komurspor
0 : 2
Pazarspor
12 Sept
Pazarspor
4 : 1
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 7

Erbaaspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
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Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
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Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
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SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
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Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
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Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
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Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
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Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Karsiyaka -
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Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
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Aksehirspor -
Gemlikspor -
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
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Serik Spor -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
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Ayvalikgucu -
Bigaspor -
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Balikesirspor -
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
Soma Spor -
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Alanya 1221 -
Hatayspor -
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Karakopru -
Erciyes 38 -
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Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
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Agri 1970 -
Mazidagi -
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Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
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Adana Adaletgucu -
Osmaniyespor -
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
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Malatya -
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Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
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1/8-finals
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Orduspor 1967 -
Karadeniz Eregli -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
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