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Pazinka vs Vinodol

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Pazinka Logo

Pazinka

0 - 2
FT
Vinodol Logo

Vinodol

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Pazinka and Vinodol finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vinodol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pazinka
20%
Draws
40%
Vinodol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pazinka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vinodol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 16%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazinka Vinodol
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Pazinka
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Vinodol
0:2
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Vinodol
3:1
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Pazinka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazinka 28 / 100
Vinodol 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazinka Vinodol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Pazinka found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Pazinka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pazinka VS Vinodol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazinka

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
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Vinodol

(Away)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)