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Pcinja vs Novaci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2025/2026
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Match Events

45' Event
Marcevski A.
67' Event
Karevski S.
85' Event
Karevski S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Novaci advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pcinja
25%
Draws
35%
Novaci
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pcinja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Novaci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Novaci's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Novaci arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Novaci, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Pcinja Clean Sheet 20%
Novaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pcinja Novaci
Matches Played 1 28
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 0 1.21
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Pcinja vs Novaci
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pcinja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Novaci Compare

Top Goalscorer Karevski S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcevski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pcinja 24 / 100
Novaci 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pcinja Novaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pcinja found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (1 games).

Novaci has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Novaci has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novaci
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pcinja

(Home)
03 Sept
Pcinja
0 : 3
Novaci

Novaci

(Away)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vardar -
TBD -
Pcinja 0
Novaci 3
Ohrid 2
Brera Strumica 1
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
Shkupi 2
Belasica Strumica 3
Arsimi 2
Bashkimi 2008 1
Detonit Plackovica 4
Pobeda 0
Bashkimi 4
Evrotip Online 1
Sileks 7
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Makedonija GP 14
TBD -
Struga -
Jeni Maale 0
Shkendija Tetovo 9
FK Skopje 0
Tikves 1
Shkendija Haracine 2
Kamenica Sasa 1
Teteks 1
Pelister 2
Karbinci 0
Rabotnicki 16
Pobeda Valandovo 0
Bregalnica Stip 6
1/8-finals
Vardar 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 3
Shkupi 0
Belasica Strumica 0
Detonit Plackovica 1
Bashkimi 1
Sileks 2
Makedonija GP 0
Struga 5
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Tikves 0
Shkendija Haracine 1
Pelister 0
Rabotnicki 2
Bregalnica Stip 1
Quarter-finals
Vardar 1
Ohrid 2
Detonit Plackovica 0
Sileks 3
Struga 2
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Shkendija Haracine 3
Rabotnicki 1
Semi-finals
Ohrid 1
Sileks 2
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Shkendija Haracine 2
Final
Sileks 1
Shkendija Tetovo 0