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Stadium Background

PD Rociera vs CD Guadalcacin

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Guadalcacin in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Guadalcacin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
PD Rociera
15%
Draws
0%
CD Guadalcacin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PD Rociera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PD Rociera lately — more wins on the board than CD Guadalcacin.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on PD Rociera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
PD Rociera Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PD Rociera CD Guadalcacin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.03 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs PD Rociera
2:1
Dec 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs CD Guadalcacin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PD Rociera 58 / 100
CD Guadalcacin 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PD Rociera CD Guadalcacin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PD Rociera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Guadalcacin let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: CD Guadalcacin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

PD Rociera found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Guadalcacin
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PD Rociera

(Home)
17 May
PD Rociera
1 : 1
Ecija
10 May
CD Guadalcacin
2 : 1
PD Rociera
03 May
PD Rociera
0 : 2
Algeciras
26 Apr
Conil
3 : 1
PD Rociera
19 Apr
PD Rociera
1 : 3
CD Gerena
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CD Guadalcacin

(Away)
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4
Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1
CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0
CD Guadalcacin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 42 31 7 4 77:28 100
2 CD San Fernando 42 28 7 7 88:28 91
3 CD Gerena 42 28 3 11 89:38 87
4 Sanluqueno 42 26 5 11 74:40 83
5 AD Ceuta 42 20 12 10 50:32 72
6 Lebrijana 42 18 6 18 60:66 60
7 Conil 42 16 12 14 51:60 60
8 Sevilla C 42 15 13 14 42:45 58
9 Ecija 42 15 13 14 49:41 58
10 CD Alcala 42 15 12 15 40:52 57
11 Coria C.F. 42 16 9 17 48:42 57
12 San Roque de Cadiz 42 14 14 14 47:49 56
13 CMD San Juan 42 14 10 18 48:49 52
14 Los Barrios 42 15 7 20 45:50 52
15 CD Guadalcacin 42 14 10 18 39:48 52
16 Cabecense 42 12 13 17 36:54 49
17 Arcos CF 42 14 6 22 46:74 48
18 Mairena 42 11 11 20 42:55 44
19 PD Rociera 42 10 10 22 40:73 40
20 Cadiz B 42 9 11 22 45:54 38
21 La Palma CF 42 9 9 24 35:69 36
22 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 42 9 6 27 34:78 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)