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PD Rociera vs Conil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 game between PD Rociera and Conil finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
PD Rociera
15%
Draws
73%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Conil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Conil's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Conil have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
PD Rociera Clean Sheet 19%
Conil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PD Rociera Conil
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs PD Rociera
3:1
Dec 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs Conil
1:3
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs Conil
2:3
Nov 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs PD Rociera
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PD Rociera 16 / 100
Conil 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PD Rociera Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: PD Rociera scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Conil conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Conil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Conil
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PD Rociera

(Home)
17 May
PD Rociera
1 : 1
Ecija
10 May
CD Guadalcacin
2 : 1
PD Rociera
03 May
PD Rociera
0 : 2
Algeciras
26 Apr
Conil
3 : 1
PD Rociera
19 Apr
PD Rociera
1 : 3
CD Gerena
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Conil

(Away)
04 Oct
Conil
2 : 0
Cordoba B
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Conil
27 Sept
Linense
3 : 1
Conil
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanluqueno 38 28 5 5 81:32 89
2 CD San Fernando 38 22 8 8 88:52 74
3 Mairena 38 20 11 7 64:32 71
4 Coria C.F. 38 20 8 10 72:46 68
5 Sevilla C 38 20 6 12 67:46 66
6 Algeciras 38 17 8 13 57:50 59
7 CD Alcala 38 13 18 7 58:52 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 16 6 16 59:55 54
9 Cadiz B 38 13 11 14 53:53 50
10 Cordoba B 38 11 12 15 35:37 45
11 Conil 38 11 12 15 47:68 45
12 Pozoblanco 38 10 15 13 47:49 45
13 Antoniano 38 10 13 15 31:45 43
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
15 Arcos CF 38 9 13 16 45:63 40
16 Portuense 38 8 15 15 41:53 39
17 Ayamonte 38 10 8 20 46:72 38
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 9 11 18 34:51 38
19 Marinaleda 38 9 11 18 39:59 38
20 PD Rociera 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)