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PD Rociera vs Portuense

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 game between PD Rociera and Portuense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
PD Rociera
20%
Draws
40%
Portuense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Portuense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
PD Rociera Clean Sheet 20%
Portuense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PD Rociera Portuense
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.06 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs Portuense
0:0
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs PD Rociera
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PD Rociera 32 / 100
Portuense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PD Rociera Portuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PD Rociera's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Portuense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Portuense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PD Rociera VS Portuense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PD Rociera

(Home)
17 May
PD Rociera
1 : 1
Ecija
10 May
CD Guadalcacin
2 : 1
PD Rociera
03 May
PD Rociera
0 : 2
Algeciras
26 Apr
Conil
3 : 1
PD Rociera
19 Apr
PD Rociera
1 : 3
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 7

Portuense

(Away)
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
28 Aug
Portuense
1 : 2
Rotena
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
09 Aug
Trebujena CF
2 : 0
Portuense
27 Jul
Portuense
0 : 2
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanluqueno 38 28 5 5 81:32 89
2 CD San Fernando 38 22 8 8 88:52 74
3 Mairena 38 20 11 7 64:32 71
4 Coria C.F. 38 20 8 10 72:46 68
5 Sevilla C 38 20 6 12 67:46 66
6 Algeciras 38 17 8 13 57:50 59
7 CD Alcala 38 13 18 7 58:52 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 16 6 16 59:55 54
9 Cadiz B 38 13 11 14 53:53 50
10 Cordoba B 38 11 12 15 35:37 45
11 Conil 38 11 12 15 47:68 45
12 Pozoblanco 38 10 15 13 47:49 45
13 Antoniano 38 10 13 15 31:45 43
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
15 Arcos CF 38 9 13 16 45:63 40
16 Portuense 38 8 15 15 41:53 39
17 Ayamonte 38 10 8 20 46:72 38
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 9 11 18 34:51 38
19 Marinaleda 38 9 11 18 39:59 38
20 PD Rociera 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)