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PDHA vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Barbuti R.
90' Event
Morselli F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between PDHA and Alcione Milano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PDHA
30%
Draws
70%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Alcione Milano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alcione Milano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
PDHA Clean Sheet 26%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PDHA Alcione Milano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 13
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Alcione Milano
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alcione Milano vs PDHA
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PDHA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbuti R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morselli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PDHA 17 / 100
Alcione Milano 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PDHA Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcione Milano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Alcione Milano let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

PDHA's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Alcione Milano has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcione Milano
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PDHA

(Home)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
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Alcione Milano

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)