Sport Picks
PE Sant Jordi vs Binissalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 
Match Events
21'
21'
Pinto A.
75'
75'
Movilla D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between PE Sant Jordi and Binissalem finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PE Sant Jordi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Binissalem carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on PE Sant Jordi taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 68%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PE Sant Jordi | Binissalem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Binissalem
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs PE Sant Jordi
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs PE Sant Jordi
2:0
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Binissalem
1:1
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Binissalem
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PE Sant Jordi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Binissalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinto A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Movilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PE Sant Jordi 68 / 100
Binissalem 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PE Sant Jordi Binissalem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PE Sant Jordi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PE Sant Jordi scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: PE Sant Jordi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Binissalem lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PE Sant Jordi VS Binissalem
1.17 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
PE Sant Jordi
(Home) 04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0 Inter Ibiza
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0 PE Sant Jordi
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 Andratx
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4 PE Sant Jordi
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0 Migjorn
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04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0 Inter Ibiza
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 Andratx
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0 Migjorn
11 May
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 2 Constancia
26 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 2 Binissalem
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Binissalem
(Away) 03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0 Sineu
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0 Binissalem
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
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27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0 Binissalem
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0 Binissalem
02 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 0 Binissalem
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Poblense | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 47:17 | 72 |
| 2 | Constancia | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 55:31 | 67 |
| 3 | Formentera | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 68:34 | 66 |
| 4 | Porreres | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 51:32 | 62 |
| 5 | Penya Independent | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 59:34 | 58 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 54 |
| 7 | Manacor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 54:36 | 51 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:53 | 47 |
| 9 | Binissalem | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:34 | 47 |
| 10 | Llosetense | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:45 | 44 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:45 | 43 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Felanitx | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:50 | 40 |
| 14 | Collerense | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 42:48 | 39 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 43:51 | 37 |
| 16 | PE Sant Jordi | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:52 | 30 |
| 17 | Campos | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 31:75 | 20 |
| 18 | Migjorn | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
