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PE Sant Jordi vs Migjorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Carella A.

AI Match Summary

PE Sant Jordi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PE Sant Jordi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
PE Sant Jordi
20%
Draws
22%
Migjorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PE Sant Jordi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • PE Sant Jordi have won more games recently than Migjorn.
  • Win probability leans PE Sant Jordi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors PE Sant Jordi here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 68%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PE Sant Jordi Migjorn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Migjorn
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs PE Sant Jordi
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Migjorn
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Top Goalscorer Carella A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Migjorn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PE Sant Jordi 95 / 100
Migjorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PE Sant Jordi Migjorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PE Sant Jordi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migjorn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

PE Sant Jordi scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: PE Sant Jordi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PE Sant Jordi VS Migjorn
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PE Sant Jordi

(Home)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4
PE Sant Jordi
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

Migjorn

(Away)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)