Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Ceintuurbaan

AZ Alkmaar W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PEC Zwolle W play AZ Alkmaar W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, PEC Zwolle W averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. AZ Alkmaar W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, PEC Zwolle W won 2, AZ Alkmaar W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for PEC Zwolle W and 1.69 for AZ Alkmaar W. This points to a PEC Zwolle W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

PEC Zwolle W

18%

Draws

36%

AZ Alkmaar W

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: PEC Zwolle W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

PEC Zwolle W picked up more points recently compared to AZ Alkmaar W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

PEC Zwolle W Clean Sheet 13%

AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PEC Zwolle W	AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	13	10
Draws	2	8
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.48	1.9
Goals Conceded	1.44	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Eredivisie Women

PEC Zwolle W vs AZ Alkmaar W

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Dec 21, 2025 Eredivisie Women

AZ Alkmaar W vs PEC Zwolle W

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Mar 8, 2025 Eredivisie Women

AZ Alkmaar W vs PEC Zwolle W

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Dec 8, 2024 Eredivisie Women

PEC Zwolle W vs AZ Alkmaar W

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Jan 21, 2024 Eredivisie Women

AZ Alkmaar W vs PEC Zwolle W

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PEC Zwolle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Udink B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jonsdottir R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PEC Zwolle W 44 / 100

AZ Alkmaar W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PEC Zwolle W AZ Alkmaar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PEC Zwolle W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PEC Zwolle W attacking → ← attacking AZ Alkmaar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PEC Zwolle W scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

AZ Alkmaar W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

PEC Zwolle W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AZ Alkmaar W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 38

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV W	22	17	3	2	56:15	54
2	Ajax W	22	15	5	2	55:18	50
3	Feyenoord W	22	14	5	3	45:17	47
4	Twente W	22	14	4	4	55:19	46
5	Utrecht W	22	11	4	7	41:37	37
6	PEC Zwolle W	22	11	1	10	35:32	34
7	Heerenveen W	22	8	2	12	38:51	26
8	AZ Alkmaar W	22	6	6	10	36:46	24
9	Den Haag W	22	6	4	12	24:45	22
10	Hera United W	22	5	5	12	24:42	20
11	SBV Excelsior W	22	2	2	18	18:51	8
12	NAC Breda W	22	2	1	19	17:71	7