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Pecsi MFC vs Penzugyor SE

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Harsanyi D.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Pecsi MFC and Penzugyor SE finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pecsi MFC
15%
Draws
5%
Penzugyor SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pecsi MFC come out ahead of Penzugyor SE on wins alone.
  • Pecsi MFC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 68%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pecsi MFC Penzugyor SE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 1 18
Goals Scored 2.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Penzugyor SE
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Pecsi MFC
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Harsanyi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Penzugyor SE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pecsi MFC 95 / 100
Penzugyor SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pecsi MFC Penzugyor SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pecsi MFC scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Penzugyor SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pecsi MFC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pecsi MFC VS Penzugyor SE
2 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pecsi MFC

(Home)
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
15 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Ferencvaros II
12 Aug
Sarbogard
0 : 6
Pecsi MFC
08 Aug
Majosi
1 : 3
Pecsi MFC
25 Jul
Pecsi MFC
2 : 0
Dunaharaszti MTK
Page 1 of 6

Penzugyor SE

(Away)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)