Sport Picks

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Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021
Wed, Dec 16, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pedras Rubras host U. Madeira in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021. Pedras Rubras are expected to control this from the start. U. Madeira have shipped 3.78 goals a game lately, while Pedras Rubras have conceded 1.55 and scored 0.8. Past meetings favor Pedras Rubras slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.23 xG vs 0.68) point toward Pedras Rubras. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pedras Rubras
15%
Draws
85%
U. Madeira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Madeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pedras Rubras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • U. Madeira are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pedras Rubras Clean Sheet 20%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedras Rubras U. Madeira
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 6 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.8 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.55 3.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Pedras Rubras
0:0
Dec 16, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira
0:0
Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira
0:0
Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
U. Madeira vs Pedras Rubras
2:1
Oct 21, 2012 Taça de Portugal
Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedras Rubras 20 / 100
U. Madeira 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedras Rubras U. Madeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Madeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Madeira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

U. Madeira's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pedras Rubras's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS U. Madeira
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pedras Rubras

(Home)
11 Apr
Pedras Rubras
0 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Apr
SC Salgueiros
3 : 1
Pedras Rubras
14 Mar
Pedras Rubras
0 : 1
Maritimo B
07 Mar
Coimbroes
2 : 0
Pedras Rubras
28 Feb
Pedras Rubras
1 : 3
Gondomar
Page 1 of 4

U. Madeira

(Away)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga B 22 17 4 1 61:12 55
2 Merelinense 22 15 3 4 34:13 48
3 CDC Montalegre 22 10 8 4 36:24 38
4 SC Mirandela 22 9 8 5 24:16 35
5 Maria de Fonte 22 9 5 8 30:29 32
6 SC Vianense 22 9 5 8 26:28 32
7 Vilaverdense FC 22 7 7 8 28:30 28
8 Pedras Salgadas 22 6 8 8 19:23 26
9 Vidago 22 6 5 11 27:36 23
10 GD Braganca 22 4 8 10 16:25 20
11 Cerveira 22 3 6 13 11:27 15
12 Aguia Vimioso 22 1 5 16 12:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Mondinense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tirsense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 AD Fafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 FC Felgueiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Brito 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sao Martinho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Rio Ave B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Berco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Pevidem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gondomar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Trofense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Coimbroes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Paredes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Amarante FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Camara de Lobos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 SC Salgueiros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 SC Vila Real 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Maritimo B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Pedras Rubras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olhanense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Juv. Evora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Louletano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Aljustrelense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Pinhalnovense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Esperanca de Lagos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Moura AC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Lusitano GC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Amora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Moncarapachense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Armacenenses 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)