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Pedreira vs Paraense SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Pedreira and Paraense SC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pedreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pedreira
15%
Draws
26%
Paraense SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pedreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pedreira come out ahead of Paraense SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pedreira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 17%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedreira Paraense SC
Matches Played 16 10
Wins 10 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Pedreira
6:0
Oct 4, 2025 Paraense A3
Pedreira vs Paraense SC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedreira 84 / 100
Paraense SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedreira Paraense SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pedreira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pedreira's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Paraense SC conceded in 60% of 10 recent games.

Solid form: Pedreira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pedreira VS Paraense SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pedreira

(Home)
03 Oct
Pedreira
2 : 1
Tesla
27 Sept
Tesla
4 : 1
Pedreira
23 Sept
ESMAC
0 : 5
Pedreira
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
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Paraense SC

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)