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Pedreira vs Uniao Paraense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Wed, Sep 11, 2024
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pedreira play Uniao Paraense in the Paraense B1 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pedreira averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Uniao Paraense averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Pedreira won 0, Uniao Paraense won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 5, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Pedreira and 1.25 for Uniao Paraense. This points to a Pedreira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pedreira
35%
Draws
18%
Uniao Paraense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pedreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Pedreira picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Paraense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 19%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedreira Uniao Paraense
Matches Played 10 16
Wins 6 1
Draws 1 9
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.4 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs Pedreira
0:0
Sep 11, 2024 Paraense A2
Pedreira vs Uniao Paraense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedreira 46 / 100
Uniao Paraense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedreira Uniao Paraense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pedreira or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pedreira attacking → ← attacking Uniao Paraense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pedreira scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Uniao Paraense let in goals in 75% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Pedreira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Paraense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 12
1.20 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paragominas632111:411
2Capitao Poco63126:510
3Pinheirense62316:69
4Santos PA60241:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Izabelense63309:212
2Amazonia IFC62225:48
3Fonte Nova61325:106
4Uniao Paraense60423:64
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Raimundo PA431010:110
2ESMAC41214:65
3CA Vila Rica40132:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente42025:66
2Carajas41217:65
3Itupiranga41215:55