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Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2020/2021
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

0 - 5
FT
Lee Man Warriors Logo

Lee Man Warriors

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Lee Man Warriors advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Pegasus
15%
Draws
53%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lee Man Warriors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lee Man Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lee Man Warriors, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 19%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pegasus Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 23 35
Wins 11 24
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.35 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:5
Apr 11, 2021 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
1:3
Mar 28, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Sapling Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pegasus 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pegasus Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Pegasus scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Lee Man Warriors let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Pegasus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lee Man Warriors
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pegasus

(Home)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 6 3 3 0 11:2 12
2 Kitchee 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Pegasus 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
4 Hong Kong Rangers 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern AA 6 4 1 1 17:7 13
2 Happy Valley 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
3 Southern District 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
4 Resources Capital 6 0 1 5 5:19 1
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)