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Pelhrimov vs Humpolec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Pelhrimov and Humpolec finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Pelhrimov
15%
Draws
37%
Humpolec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelhrimov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelhrimov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pelhrimov are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pelhrimov Clean Sheet 20%
Humpolec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelhrimov Humpolec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Humpolec
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Pelhrimov
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Pelhrimov
0:0
Aug 6, 2023 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Humpolec
1:2
Apr 22, 2018 Vysocina KP
Pelhrimov vs Humpolec
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelhrimov 85 / 100
Humpolec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelhrimov Humpolec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelhrimov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pelhrimov scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Humpolec has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Pelhrimov remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pelhrimov VS Humpolec
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelhrimov

(Home)
03 Oct
Bystrc
2 : 1
Pelhrimov
27 Sept
Pelhrimov
4 : 2
FC Kurim
19 Sept
Bedrichov
1 : 5
Pelhrimov
13 Sept
Pelhrimov
5 : 0
Velke Mezirici
05 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Pelhrimov
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Humpolec

(Away)
04 Oct
Znojmo
0 : 2
Humpolec
27 Sept
Humpolec
0 : 0
Chotebor
20 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou
1 : 2
Humpolec
13 Sept
Humpolec
1 : 2
FS Trebic
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
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