Sport Picks

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Pelhrimov vs Sperice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelhrimov in this 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelhrimov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pelhrimov
20%
Draws
47%
Sperice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sperice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pelhrimov have won more games recently than Sperice.
  • Win probability leans Pelhrimov's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pelhrimov Clean Sheet 10%
Sperice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelhrimov Sperice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sperice
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sperice
2:2
May 29, 2022 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelhrimov 34 / 100
Sperice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelhrimov Sperice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelhrimov scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Sperice let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Pelhrimov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelhrimov VS Sperice
1.75 Goals Scored 3.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelhrimov

(Home)
19 Sept
Bedrichov
1 : 5
Pelhrimov
13 Sept
Pelhrimov
5 : 0
Velke Mezirici
05 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Pelhrimov
30 Aug
Zdirec nad Doubravou
2 : 2
Pelhrimov
23 Aug
Pelhrimov
1 : 2
Bohunice
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Sperice

(Away)
20 Sept
Sperice
2 : 4
Jemnicko
13 Sept
Stara Rise
1 : 6
Sperice
06 Sept
Sperice
1 : 1
Kamenice nad Lipou
30 Aug
Slavoj Polna
1 : 2
Sperice
23 Aug
Sperice
4 : 1
Ledec nad Sazavou
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