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Pelhrimov vs Sperice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelhrimov in this 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelhrimov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pelhrimov
33%
Draws
27%
Sperice
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pelhrimov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelhrimov have won more games recently than Sperice.
  • Win probability leans Pelhrimov's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pelhrimov Clean Sheet 10%
Sperice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelhrimov Sperice
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sperice
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sperice
2:2
May 29, 2022 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelhrimov 38 / 100
Sperice 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelhrimov Sperice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelhrimov scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sperice let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Pelhrimov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelhrimov VS Sperice
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelhrimov

(Home)
12 Jun
Pelhrimov
1 : 2
Tasovice
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
31 May
Pelhrimov
3 : 0
Sperice
23 May
FC Kurim
8 : 1
Pelhrimov
17 May
Pelhrimov
5 : 2
FS Trebic
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Sperice

(Away)
13 Jun
Sperice
2 : 2
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
07 Jun
Tasovice
5 : 2
Sperice
31 May
Pelhrimov
3 : 0
Sperice
24 May
Sperice
0 : 2
FS Trebic
16 May
Bohunice
1 : 0
Sperice
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