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Pelikan Niechanowo vs Ostrovia Ostrow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelikan Niechanowo in this III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelikan Niechanowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Pelikan Niechanowo
15%
Draws
7%
Ostrovia Ostrow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelikan Niechanowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pelikan Niechanowo lately — more wins on the board than Ostrovia Ostrow.
  • Win probability leans Pelikan Niechanowo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pelikan Niechanowo Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Niechanowo Ostrovia Ostrow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.82 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Pelikan Niechanowo vs Ostrovia Ostrow
2:0
Aug 30, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Pelikan Niechanowo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan Niechanowo 85 / 100
Ostrovia Ostrow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Niechanowo Ostrovia Ostrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Niechanowo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelikan Niechanowo scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Ostrovia Ostrow has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Pelikan Niechanowo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan Niechanowo VS Ostrovia Ostrow
2.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan Niechanowo

(Home)
04 Jun
Pelikan Niechanowo
6 : 0
Kujawianka
28 May
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Pelikan Niechanowo
21 May
Pelikan Niechanowo
3 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 May
Nielba Wagrowiec
0 : 1
Pelikan Niechanowo
08 May
Pelikan Niechanowo
1 : 0
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

Ostrovia Ostrow

(Away)
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3
Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)