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Pelikan vs Blonianka Blonie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Olpinski A.
24' Event
Nowakowski K.
43' Event
Olpinski A.

AI Match Summary

Pelikan in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelikan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Pelikan
20%
Draws
7%
Blonianka Blonie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pelikan lately — more wins on the board than Blonianka Blonie.
  • Model gives Pelikan a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 12%
Blonianka Blonie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Blonianka Blonie
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Pelikan vs Blonianka Blonie
0:0
May 21, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Blonianka Blonie
5:2
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Pelikan
1:1
Jun 1, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Pelikan
3:1
Oct 31, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Blonianka Blonie
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Olpinski A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soltysinski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Blonianka Blonie Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowakowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosior M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 83 / 100
Blonianka Blonie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Blonianka Blonie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pelikan scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Blonianka Blonie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Pelikan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS Blonianka Blonie
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 8

Blonianka Blonie

(Away)
11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
12 Feb
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
27 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
29 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
19 Jul
Blonianka Blonie
1 : 3
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LKS Lodz II 34 20 8 6 76:41 68
2 Legionowo 34 18 10 6 71:43 64
3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 18 10 6 62:39 64
4 Swit Mazowiecki 34 18 7 9 66:45 61
5 Legia II 34 15 10 9 66:48 55
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
7 Unia Skierniewice 34 15 8 11 41:38 53
8 MKS Mlawa 34 15 7 12 83:71 52
9 Jagiellonia II 34 13 10 11 65:54 49
10 Pilica Bialobrzegi 34 12 9 13 53:55 45
11 Pelikan 34 12 9 13 56:52 45
12 Sokol Ostroda 34 10 6 18 49:71 36
13 Olimpia Zambrow 34 9 9 16 40:63 36
14 Bron Radom 34 9 8 17 60:76 35
15 Warta Sieradz 34 8 10 16 39:53 34
16 Concordia Elblag 34 8 9 17 38:61 33
17 Blonianka Blonie 34 8 6 20 35:68 30
18 Ursus Warszawa 34 5 10 19 42:72 25
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)