Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelikan vs GKS Wikielec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelikan play GKS Wikielec in the III Liga - Group I 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pelikan averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. GKS Wikielec averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Pelikan won 2, GKS Wikielec won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 29, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pelikan and 1.18 for GKS Wikielec. This points to a Pelikan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pelikan
27%
Draws
36%
GKS Wikielec
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelikan picked up more points recently compared to GKS Wikielec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 20%
GKS Wikielec Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan GKS Wikielec
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs GKS Wikielec
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Wikielec vs Pelikan
0:2
May 24, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Wikielec vs Pelikan
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs GKS Wikielec
1:1
May 8, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs GKS Wikielec
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierzak P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

GKS Wikielec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 37 / 100
GKS Wikielec 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan GKS Wikielec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pelikan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pelikan attacking → ← attacking GKS Wikielec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelikan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

GKS Wikielec let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Pelikan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

GKS Wikielec lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212