Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelikan vs Plock II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Olpinski A.
89' Event
Abdelhamid I.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Pelikan and Plock II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pelikan
20%
Draws
44%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Pelikan haven't matched Plock II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Plock II a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Plock II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Plock II vs Pelikan
3:2
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Plock II
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Pelikan
1:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Pelikan vs Plock II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Olpinski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelhamid I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 26 / 100
Plock II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plock II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Pelikan scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pelikan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS Plock II
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
19 Aug
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0
Pelikan
15 Aug
Pelikan
2 : 1
LKS Lodz II
07 Aug
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1
Pelikan
01 Aug
Pelikan
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
Page 1 of 6

Plock II

(Away)
19 Aug
Plock II
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
Plock II
08 Aug
Plock II
2 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
31 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Plock II
22 Jul
Plock II
3 : 2
Pelikan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 23 5 6 81:30 74
2 Legia II 34 21 7 6 75:39 70
3 LKS Lomza 34 18 10 6 68:38 64
4 Warta Sieradz 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
5 Suwalki 34 13 9 12 46:38 48
6 Jagiellonia II 34 13 8 13 54:49 47
7 Swit Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47:58 47
8 GKS Belchatow 34 12 10 12 52:52 46
9 Bron Radom 34 12 10 12 40:48 46
10 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 7 14 57:64 46
11 MKS Mlawa 34 12 8 14 67:62 44
12 Plock II 34 11 10 13 54:58 43
13 GKS Wikielec 34 10 12 12 39:45 42
14 Stomil Olsztyn 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
15 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 52:59 41
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 34 9 14 11 46:60 41
17 Pelikan 34 9 6 19 34:58 33
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 34 2 6 26 26:72 12
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)